Arnaud leads Kansas City to draw at Philadelphia

Soccer Betting Lines

09/04/2010 - Chester, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Davy Arnaud scored in the 70th minute and the Kansas City Wizards tied the Philadelphia Union, 1-1, on Saturday afternoon in Major League Soccer at PPL Park.

Arnaud had a goal and an assist last week to lead K.C. to a 2-0 win at the Los Angeles Galaxy, and helped the Wizards earn another road result - their fourth in their last five away matches - with his fourth goal of the season.

Kansas City (7-9-6) extended its recent run of success, moving to 2-1-2 in its last five road matches and 4-1-3 in its last eight overall.

Philadelphia (5-11-6) got a first-half goal from Sebastien Le Toux, who leads the team with 10 goals, but failed to hold onto the lead. The Union don't have a shutout all season.

Stefani Miglioranzi came within inches of handing Philadelphia the lead in the 26th when his 35-yard shot hit the left post. Le Toux forced K.C. goalie Jimmy Nielsen to make a save two minutes later.

Le Toux followed with the opening goal of the game when he converted an assist from rookie Danny Mwanga. Justin Mapp, who scored in stoppage time last week to lift Philadelphia to a 2-1 win at New England, helped set up the first goal with a pass down the left to Mwanga.

Mwanga, who leads all rookies with seven goals, did most of the work from that point, driving in from the left wing before slipping a pass into the middle to Le Toux in the 30th. Le Toux finished from six yards to easily beat Nielsen.

Arnaud nearly set up the equalizer before half, but Shavar Thomas just missed getting good contact off a header that Union goalie Chris Seitz saved.

K.C. had another chance in the first minute of the second half, but Ryan Smith failed to get a shot off despite driving past Seitz, as Philadelphia defender Michael Orozco Fiscal made a sliding tackle to prevent a sure goal.

Mapp nearly turned another pass from Mwanga into the Union's second goal, but Nielsen deflected his shot to send it wide right in the 53rd.

Mwanga and K.C.'s Birahim Diop traded chances in the next 10 minutes, then Le Toux forced a save from Nielsen in the 66th.

K.C. finally rewarded Nielsen, who finished with five saves, in the 70th when Arnaud scored the tying goal directly off a free kick. Arnaud took the attempt from outside the left edge of the penalty area and drove it over traffic, then Seitz, and into the upper-right corner.

Wizards rookie Teal Bunbury had the best chance for either side over the final 20 minutes, but his shot from a tight angle in the 77th minute was handled by Seitz, who made his fourth save of the match.

Philadelphia hosts the Chicago Fire on Sept. 11 in its next match. Kansas City is off until Sept. 19, when it visits Chivas USA.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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